Study Finds Lockdown Had “No Effect” on German Coronavirus Spread


Statisticians at the Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich have claimed there was “no direct connection” between the German lockdown and falling infection rates in the country, the Telegraph reported.

The study, focusing on the COVID-19 ‘R number’ - the average number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to -, concluded that the German infection rate had already begun to fall before each of the country’s national lockdowns. 

Germany was placed into full lockdown on December 16th, with restrictions later tightening on April 23rd under Chancellor Angela Merkel’s “emergency brake.” As noted by the study, the measures taken “could have had a positive effect on the course of the infection, but are not solely responsible for the decline.” 

Speaking on radio Deutschlandfunk, medical journalist Christoph Specht postulated that the number of infections had fallen because of vaccinations rather than Merkel’s “emergency brake.” 

“Yes, I think so - not necessarily because of the emergency brake, but because more vaccine is not only popular but has actually been delivered in the last few days.”

However, Professor Ralph Brinks, a co-author of the study, told German television: “You can't tell from the data that the lockdown was unnecessary.”

“All that it shows is that the start of lockdown and the fall in infections do not coincide.”

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